I kind of have conflicting feelings about this post, but still think it should at least be nominated for the 2018 review.
I think the point about memetically transmitted ideas only really being able to perform a shallow, though maybe still crucial, part of cognition is pretty important and might deserve this to be nominated alone.
But the overall point about clickbait and the internet feels also really important to me, but I also feel really conflicted because it kind of pattern-matches to a narrative that I feel performs badly on some reference-class forecasting perspectives. I do think the Goodhart’s law points are pretty clear, but I really wish we could do some more systematic study of whether the things that Eliezer is pointing to are real.
So overall, I think I really want this to be reviewed, at least so that we can maybe collectively put some effort into finding more empirical sources of Eliezer’s claims in this post, and see whether they hold up. If they do, then I do think that that is of quite significant importance.
I kind of have conflicting feelings about this post, but still think it should at least be nominated for the 2018 review.
I think the point about memetically transmitted ideas only really being able to perform a shallow, though maybe still crucial, part of cognition is pretty important and might deserve this to be nominated alone.
But the overall point about clickbait and the internet feels also really important to me, but I also feel really conflicted because it kind of pattern-matches to a narrative that I feel performs badly on some reference-class forecasting perspectives. I do think the Goodhart’s law points are pretty clear, but I really wish we could do some more systematic study of whether the things that Eliezer is pointing to are real.
So overall, I think I really want this to be reviewed, at least so that we can maybe collectively put some effort into finding more empirical sources of Eliezer’s claims in this post, and see whether they hold up. If they do, then I do think that that is of quite significant importance.