“trust” is too big a word to use here. Two people fighting is a reason not to invest much of your future happiness in either, unless you’re part of the fight. Fighting harms all participants, EVEN the righteous. Your best EV, absent any other connections to the fight or fighters, is not to join.
You MAY want to join the meta-fight, arguing for procedures or framing that make this fight less harmful or easier to decide correctly. This is what I think Duncan is trying to do with this post—to show that most of us can’t update very much in any direction based on this, so it should overall be given less weight than it is (in some circles, at least).
“trust” is too big a word to use here. Two people fighting is a reason not to invest much of your future happiness in either, unless you’re part of the fight. Fighting harms all participants, EVEN the righteous. Your best EV, absent any other connections to the fight or fighters, is not to join.
You MAY want to join the meta-fight, arguing for procedures or framing that make this fight less harmful or easier to decide correctly. This is what I think Duncan is trying to do with this post—to show that most of us can’t update very much in any direction based on this, so it should overall be given less weight than it is (in some circles, at least).