The most likely outcome … Millions will die … which will all be hushed up
China has an Internet and a public sphere. Almost everyone has a smartphone. It would take a garrison society with no electronic communications to cover up something like that. Also, Chinese government policy can change. If they have to capitulate on Covid, they’ll do it, and in a way that saves face...
I should have phrased this differently. I’m not suggesting that chinese citizens won’t actually know that tons of people died. What I’m conjecturing is that it will not be acceptable to talk about the real death toll in public, and there will be wide error bars around people’s estimates of how many people died because the official counts will be so artificially low.
China has an Internet and a public sphere. Almost everyone has a smartphone. It would take a garrison society with no electronic communications to cover up something like that. Also, Chinese government policy can change. If they have to capitulate on Covid, they’ll do it, and in a way that saves face...
I should have phrased this differently. I’m not suggesting that chinese citizens won’t actually know that tons of people died. What I’m conjecturing is that it will not be acceptable to talk about the real death toll in public, and there will be wide error bars around people’s estimates of how many people died because the official counts will be so artificially low.