Do you think there’s a more reliable way (for an outsider like myself, who’s not able to, I dunno, go and ask people in a dive bar what they think) to get the lay of the political land in a particular point in space?
This is wayyyy outside my zone of expertise, but I would look for specialist-oriented publications—e.g. newsletters specifically targeted at lobbyists/policymakers, or political information in the industry publications of special-interest industries.
If, when faced with a choice of writing about (a) things that are real but dull vs (b) things that are not real but get clicks, no one has an incentive to do (a), how do you form a view of the world?
I’d say the key is to generate your own questions, then proactively look for the answers rather than waiting around for whatever information comes to you. There’s plenty of good information out there, it just isn’t super-viral, so you have to go looking for it.
All of these people have different Schelling points!
Important point here: these people don’t actually have different Schelling points. They presumably all agree that if Alice wins the election, then whatever Alice signs into law will be the new Schelling point. What these people disagree on is their expectations for what the future Schelling point will be.
Great points!
This is wayyyy outside my zone of expertise, but I would look for specialist-oriented publications—e.g. newsletters specifically targeted at lobbyists/policymakers, or political information in the industry publications of special-interest industries.
I’d say the key is to generate your own questions, then proactively look for the answers rather than waiting around for whatever information comes to you. There’s plenty of good information out there, it just isn’t super-viral, so you have to go looking for it.
Important point here: these people don’t actually have different Schelling points. They presumably all agree that if Alice wins the election, then whatever Alice signs into law will be the new Schelling point. What these people disagree on is their expectations for what the future Schelling point will be.