That was fun. This time, I tried not to update too much on other people’s predictions. In particular, I’m at 1% for “Will we experience an existential catastrophe before we build AGI?” and at 70% for “Will there be another AI Winter (a period commonly referred to as such) before we develop AGI?”, but would probably defer to a better aggregate on the second one.
That was fun. This time, I tried not to update too much on other people’s predictions. In particular, I’m at 1% for “Will we experience an existential catastrophe before we build AGI?” and at 70% for “Will there be another AI Winter (a period commonly referred to as such) before we develop AGI?”, but would probably defer to a better aggregate on the second one.