I should clarify: my position on the factual questions surrounding the Singularity/FAI is mostly the same as the consensus of the original SIAI guys: Eliezer, Mike Vassar, Carl Shulman. Perhaps I have a slightly larger probability assigned to the “Something outside of our model will happen” category, and I place a slightly longer time lag on any of this stuff happening. And this is after disagreeing significantly with them and admitting that they were right.
I should clarify: my position on the factual questions surrounding the Singularity/FAI is mostly the same as the consensus of the original SIAI guys: Eliezer, Mike Vassar, Carl Shulman. Perhaps I have a slightly larger probability assigned to the “Something outside of our model will happen” category, and I place a slightly longer time lag on any of this stuff happening. And this is after disagreeing significantly with them and admitting that they were right.