Ok, on closer examination of my numbers and views, what I said here isn’t that accurate about my current views. (This is mostly driven by me thinking more carefully about what my views should be and updating towards slightly longer timelines.)
I’m actually pretty close to Eli on both AC and TEDAI, with shorter timeline to AC and longer timelines to TEDAI. See here for more details.
(My views aren’t that stable on reflection as is apparent here...)
Ok, on closer examination of my numbers and views, what I said here isn’t that accurate about my current views. (This is mostly driven by me thinking more carefully about what my views should be and updating towards slightly longer timelines.)
I’m actually pretty close to Eli on both AC and TEDAI, with shorter timeline to AC and longer timelines to TEDAI. See here for more details.
(My views aren’t that stable on reflection as is apparent here...)