If what you mean is you can’t be that confident given disagreement, I dunno, I wish I could have that much faith in people.
In another way, being that confident despite disagreement requires faith in people — yourself and the others who agree with you.
I think one reason I have a much lower p(doom) than some people is that although I think the AI safety community is great, I don’t have that much more faith in its epistemics than everyone else’s.
In another way, being that confident despite disagreement requires faith in people — yourself and the others who agree with you.
I think one reason I have a much lower p(doom) than some people is that although I think the AI safety community is great, I don’t have that much more faith in its epistemics than everyone else’s.