Be that as it may, I nevertheless feel discomfited by the fact that I have been arguing for 2026-2028 arrival of AGI for several years now, and people have been dismissing my concerns and focusing on plans for dealing with AGI in the 2030s or later.
The near-term-AGI space getting systematically neglected because it feels hard to come up with plans for is a bad pattern.
[Edit: I think that the relatively recent work done on pragmatic near-term control by Ryan and Buck at Redwood is a relieving departure from this pattern.]
Be that as it may, I nevertheless feel discomfited by the fact that I have been arguing for 2026-2028 arrival of AGI for several years now, and people have been dismissing my concerns and focusing on plans for dealing with AGI in the 2030s or later.
The near-term-AGI space getting systematically neglected because it feels hard to come up with plans for is a bad pattern.
[Edit: I think that the relatively recent work done on pragmatic near-term control by Ryan and Buck at Redwood is a relieving departure from this pattern.]