I think murphyjitsu is my favorite technique.
sometimes failing lets you approach a problem from a different angle
humor often results from failure, so anticipating how you’ll fail and nudging to make it more probable might create more humor
murphyjitsu is normally used in making plans, but you can murphyjitsu your opponent’s plans to identify the easiest ways to break them
micro-murphyjitsu is the art of constantly simulating reality like 5 seconds before, sort like like overclocking your OODA loop
murphyjitsu is a fast way to tell if your plan is good or not—you don’t always have to make it better
you can get intuitive probabilities for various things by checking how surprised you are at those things
if you imagine your plan succeeding instead of failing, then it might cause you realize some low-probability high-impact actions to take
you can murphyjitsu plans that you might make to get a sense of the tractability of various goals
murphyjitsu might help correct for overconfidence if you imagine ways you could be wrong every time you make a prediction
Can murphyjitsu things that aren’t plans. E.g. you can suppose the existence of arguments that would change your mind.
I think murphyjitsu is my favorite technique.
sometimes failing lets you approach a problem from a different angle
humor often results from failure, so anticipating how you’ll fail and nudging to make it more probable might create more humor
murphyjitsu is normally used in making plans, but you can murphyjitsu your opponent’s plans to identify the easiest ways to break them
micro-murphyjitsu is the art of constantly simulating reality like 5 seconds before, sort like like overclocking your OODA loop
murphyjitsu is a fast way to tell if your plan is good or not—you don’t always have to make it better
you can get intuitive probabilities for various things by checking how surprised you are at those things
if you imagine your plan succeeding instead of failing, then it might cause you realize some low-probability high-impact actions to take
you can murphyjitsu plans that you might make to get a sense of the tractability of various goals
murphyjitsu might help correct for overconfidence if you imagine ways you could be wrong every time you make a prediction
Can murphyjitsu things that aren’t plans. E.g. you can suppose the existence of arguments that would change your mind.