Hmm, I thought about it some more and maybe it’s not that simple. If we formalize surprise like that, it’s easy to come up with situations where you expect to be very “surprised” no matter what data you see. That doesn’t seem right. Does anyone have better ideas?
Hmm, I thought about it some more and maybe it’s not that simple. If we formalize surprise like that, it’s easy to come up with situations where you expect to be very “surprised” no matter what data you see. That doesn’t seem right. Does anyone have better ideas?