I understand all that, but I was trying to make a point about how inventing AI is not a magic key that opens up all doors. Making technology more efficient is one thing, but we’re still going to be here, so is the earth. I think robotics is one of the biggest areas to be improved. We have the technology, but its not “practical” yet. What happens after that is anyones guess, but the universe is still constrained by the speed of light. In other words, theres hard limits on what you can achieve. Basically, those time wave zero nuts believe that the singularity is going to occur in a single day, and the first novelty event (supposedly comparable to the industrial and agricultural revolutions) will happen then so many hours later, another one, then so many minutes later, another one, then a few seconds later we have another one, etc.
“People seem to make a leap from “This is ‘bounded’” to “The bound must be a reasonable-looking quantity on the scale I’m used to.” The power output of a supernova is ‘bounded’, but I wouldn’t advise trying to shield yourself from one with a flame-retardant Nomex jumpsuit.”—http://lesswrong.com/lw/qk/that_alien_message/
Only a small fraction of Singularitans believe that a hard, fast take-off will occur in a matter of hours. Eliezer for example believes that is likely. But that’s a claim that isn’t at all relevant to whether AI is a “magic key.” The notion of repeated singularities at ever increasing pace is not one that is generally argued. It seems like you are confusing it with a Kurzweil-style Singularity. It might help to read up on the different types of Singularities envisioned. For a very brief breakdown, see Eliezer’s remarks here
I’m deeply puzzled by your remark about “time wave zero.” Time wave zero is a New Age idea originating from Terence McKenna and connected deeply with 2012 claims.That has nothing to do with the Singularity other than the very superficial similarity in the claim of imminent large-scale changes to human society.
I understand all that, but I was trying to make a point about how inventing AI is not a magic key that opens up all doors. Making technology more efficient is one thing, but we’re still going to be here, so is the earth. I think robotics is one of the biggest areas to be improved. We have the technology, but its not “practical” yet. What happens after that is anyones guess, but the universe is still constrained by the speed of light. In other words, theres hard limits on what you can achieve. Basically, those time wave zero nuts believe that the singularity is going to occur in a single day, and the first novelty event (supposedly comparable to the industrial and agricultural revolutions) will happen then so many hours later, another one, then so many minutes later, another one, then a few seconds later we have another one, etc.
“People seem to make a leap from “This is ‘bounded’” to “The bound must be a reasonable-looking quantity on the scale I’m used to.” The power output of a supernova is ‘bounded’, but I wouldn’t advise trying to shield yourself from one with a flame-retardant Nomex jumpsuit.”—http://lesswrong.com/lw/qk/that_alien_message/
Only a small fraction of Singularitans believe that a hard, fast take-off will occur in a matter of hours. Eliezer for example believes that is likely. But that’s a claim that isn’t at all relevant to whether AI is a “magic key.” The notion of repeated singularities at ever increasing pace is not one that is generally argued. It seems like you are confusing it with a Kurzweil-style Singularity. It might help to read up on the different types of Singularities envisioned. For a very brief breakdown, see Eliezer’s remarks here
I’m deeply puzzled by your remark about “time wave zero.” Time wave zero is a New Age idea originating from Terence McKenna and connected deeply with 2012 claims.That has nothing to do with the Singularity other than the very superficial similarity in the claim of imminent large-scale changes to human society.