Only a small fraction of Singularitans believe that a hard, fast take-off will occur in a matter of hours. Eliezer for example believes that is likely. But that’s a claim that isn’t at all relevant to whether AI is a “magic key.” The notion of repeated singularities at ever increasing pace is not one that is generally argued. It seems like you are confusing it with a Kurzweil-style Singularity. It might help to read up on the different types of Singularities envisioned. For a very brief breakdown, see Eliezer’s remarks here
I’m deeply puzzled by your remark about “time wave zero.” Time wave zero is a New Age idea originating from Terence McKenna and connected deeply with 2012 claims.That has nothing to do with the Singularity other than the very superficial similarity in the claim of imminent large-scale changes to human society.
Only a small fraction of Singularitans believe that a hard, fast take-off will occur in a matter of hours. Eliezer for example believes that is likely. But that’s a claim that isn’t at all relevant to whether AI is a “magic key.” The notion of repeated singularities at ever increasing pace is not one that is generally argued. It seems like you are confusing it with a Kurzweil-style Singularity. It might help to read up on the different types of Singularities envisioned. For a very brief breakdown, see Eliezer’s remarks here
I’m deeply puzzled by your remark about “time wave zero.” Time wave zero is a New Age idea originating from Terence McKenna and connected deeply with 2012 claims.That has nothing to do with the Singularity other than the very superficial similarity in the claim of imminent large-scale changes to human society.