Strong upvoted. I’ve recently been interested in whether you could consider transformative slow takeoff to have started ~5-10 years ago via the deep learning revolution. I don’t know whether it would have much of an effect on the number of highly-skilled AI capabilities researchers, but the effect would be so broad that it would nonetheless be significant for global forecasting in tons of other ways. Unless, of course, meditation becomes popular extremely popular or social media platforms change their algorithm policies, immediately reversing the trend. The impression that I get from current social media news feed/scrolling systems is that they have many degrees of freedom to measure changes over time, and perhaps even adjust user’s attention spans in aggregate.
With systems like TikTok-based platforms, the extreme gratification offered would require substantial evidence to prove that attention spans haven’t been shortening, given neuroplasticity. It’s theoretically plausible, but not where I’d bet, even before reading this.
Strong upvoted. I’ve recently been interested in whether you could consider transformative slow takeoff to have started ~5-10 years ago via the deep learning revolution. I don’t know whether it would have much of an effect on the number of highly-skilled AI capabilities researchers, but the effect would be so broad that it would nonetheless be significant for global forecasting in tons of other ways. Unless, of course, meditation becomes popular extremely popular or social media platforms change their algorithm policies, immediately reversing the trend. The impression that I get from current social media news feed/scrolling systems is that they have many degrees of freedom to measure changes over time, and perhaps even adjust user’s attention spans in aggregate.
With systems like TikTok-based platforms, the extreme gratification offered would require substantial evidence to prove that attention spans haven’t been shortening, given neuroplasticity. It’s theoretically plausible, but not where I’d bet, even before reading this.