I don’t have a belief in the upcoming singularity, I assign it a certain amount of probability weight, depending upon year. And I’m interested in retiring before I am 80, so I need to save even if AGI comes in 50 years.
I also assign some weight to stagnation due to trying to wean ourselves off cheap oil with a growing population. I can’t put precise numbers on both of these.
I don’t have a belief in the upcoming singularity, I assign it a certain amount of probability weight, depending upon year. And I’m interested in retiring before I am 80, so I need to save even if AGI comes in 50 years.
I also assign some weight to stagnation due to trying to wean ourselves off cheap oil with a growing population. I can’t put precise numbers on both of these.