Does your belief in the upcoming Singularity affect your investment decisions? Would it be foolish to save money for 50 years in the future if AGI is invented by then?
I don’t have a belief in the upcoming singularity, I assign it a certain amount of probability weight, depending upon year. And I’m interested in retiring before I am 80, so I need to save even if AGI comes in 50 years.
I also assign some weight to stagnation due to trying to wean ourselves off cheap oil with a growing population. I can’t put precise numbers on both of these.
Does your belief in the upcoming Singularity affect your investment decisions? Would it be foolish to save money for 50 years in the future if AGI is invented by then?
I don’t have a belief in the upcoming singularity, I assign it a certain amount of probability weight, depending upon year. And I’m interested in retiring before I am 80, so I need to save even if AGI comes in 50 years.
I also assign some weight to stagnation due to trying to wean ourselves off cheap oil with a growing population. I can’t put precise numbers on both of these.
Under Hanson’s model of a paradigm shift in growth rates driven by ems, equities are drastically underpriced.
It would also be foolish to buy insurance if you never need it.