I think Metaculus rewarding participation is one of the reasons it has participation.
PredictionBook also had participation while being public about people’s Brier’s scores. I think the main reason Metaculus has more activity is that it has good curated questions.
There’s also no reason to only have a single public metric. Being able to achieve something like the Superforcaster status on the Good Judgement Project would be valuable to motivate some people.
PredictionBook also had participation while being public about people’s Brier’s scores. I think the main reason Metaculus has more activity is that it has good curated questions.
There’s also no reason to only have a single public metric. Being able to achieve something like the Superforcaster status on the Good Judgement Project would be valuable to motivate some people.