One version of decision theory I liked states essentially that the human brain has two systems. One does rational calculations, the other slaps on a bias for uncertainty avoidance before pushing it for action. Maybe evaluate your perception of the uncertainty associated with the course of action that makes rational sense. How uncertain is it really?
This is a plausible rational reason to be skeptical of one’s own rational calculations: that there is uncertainty, and that one should rationally have a conservativeness bias to account for it. What I think is happening though is that there’s an emotional blocker than is then being cleverly back-solved by finding plausible rational (rather than emotional and irrational) reasons for it, of which this is one. So it’s not that this is a totally bogus reason, it’s that this actually provides a plausible excuse for what is actually motivated by something different.
One version of decision theory I liked states essentially that the human brain has two systems. One does rational calculations, the other slaps on a bias for uncertainty avoidance before pushing it for action. Maybe evaluate your perception of the uncertainty associated with the course of action that makes rational sense. How uncertain is it really?
This is a plausible rational reason to be skeptical of one’s own rational calculations: that there is uncertainty, and that one should rationally have a conservativeness bias to account for it. What I think is happening though is that there’s an emotional blocker than is then being cleverly back-solved by finding plausible rational (rather than emotional and irrational) reasons for it, of which this is one. So it’s not that this is a totally bogus reason, it’s that this actually provides a plausible excuse for what is actually motivated by something different.