Through making us more uncertain about the situation, this lowers our confidence that everyone will die.
This seems to rely on the assumption that “there’s nowhere to go but up”: that we’re pretty certain of doom, so wildcards in the future can only make us less certain. But I don’t think that works. Wildcards in the future can also increase s-risks, and there’s no limit how bad things can get, potentially much worse than extinction.
This seems to rely on the assumption that “there’s nowhere to go but up”: that we’re pretty certain of doom, so wildcards in the future can only make us less certain. But I don’t think that works. Wildcards in the future can also increase s-risks, and there’s no limit how bad things can get, potentially much worse than extinction.