My knowledge level: I read the metaculus FAQ a couple days ago
At least on metaculus the prize pool is distributed among everyone with good enough accuracy, rather than winner-takes-all. So it shouldn’t be affected by the (real) phenomenon that you are describing.
Thanks, good to know. So I assume there is an incentive difference between monetary incentives that can be distributed in such a way, and the incentive of being able to say that you won a tournament (maybe also as a job qualification).
My knowledge level: I read the metaculus FAQ a couple days ago
At least on metaculus the prize pool is distributed among everyone with good enough accuracy, rather than winner-takes-all. So it shouldn’t be affected by the (real) phenomenon that you are describing.
Thanks, good to know. So I assume there is an incentive difference between monetary incentives that can be distributed in such a way, and the incentive of being able to say that you won a tournament (maybe also as a job qualification).