Starting a shortform to keep track of tweets that I want to refer back to.
You need to think about the supply AND demand for AI behaviors (Dec 27, 2025)
AI 2027′s main contribution is the path to ASI/how to think about this progression (Dec 23, 2025)
You should not think of METR task length as the task length for all software engineering tasks, but “well-defined software tasks that could make it into such a study” (Dec 21, 2025)
Giving money to lightcone (Dec 15, 2025)
Do not contaminate the big beautiful pretraining corpus with human labels (Dec 14, 2025)
Simulators is the prior in LLMs and will always be relevant (Nov 23, 2025)
Russian joke about insulting the president in real life (Nov 20, 2025)
Unbounded task complexity (i.e., there are actually just a lot of things for AIs to learn) & low sample efficiency in AIs → long timelines. (Nov 19, 2025 & Dec 21, 2025) (See also my commentary on task complexity when the METR study was first released on Mar 25, 2025)
59 page Neel Nanda MATS paper (Oct 30, 2025)
50 page Neel Nanda MATS application (Mar 3, 2025)
Agents that are capable of solving hard problems need not be consequentialist & reflectively stable (Mar 3, 2025)
Givewell girl summer (July 14, 2024)
My thesis on Fox New’s Effects on Social Preferences (June 13, 2023)
Starting a shortform to keep track of tweets that I want to refer back to.
You need to think about the supply AND demand for AI behaviors (Dec 27, 2025)
AI 2027′s main contribution is the path to ASI/how to think about this progression (Dec 23, 2025)
You should not think of METR task length as the task length for all software engineering tasks, but “well-defined software tasks that could make it into such a study” (Dec 21, 2025)
Giving money to lightcone (Dec 15, 2025)
Do not contaminate the big beautiful pretraining corpus with human labels (Dec 14, 2025)
Simulators is the prior in LLMs and will always be relevant (Nov 23, 2025)
Russian joke about insulting the president in real life (Nov 20, 2025)
Unbounded task complexity (i.e., there are actually just a lot of things for AIs to learn) & low sample efficiency in AIs → long timelines. (Nov 19, 2025 & Dec 21, 2025) (See also my commentary on task complexity when the METR study was first released on Mar 25, 2025)
59 page Neel Nanda MATS paper (Oct 30, 2025)
50 page Neel Nanda MATS application (Mar 3, 2025)
Agents that are capable of solving hard problems need not be consequentialist & reflectively stable (Mar 3, 2025)
Givewell girl summer (July 14, 2024)
My thesis on Fox New’s Effects on Social Preferences (June 13, 2023)