During training, weights change millions of times a second, so hypothetically labs could release models with this frequency. I would say that the speed of benchmarks going up would be a better signal, but due to benchmaxxing this is not a good answer either.
There’s been 13 (fairly) significant AI model releases in the last month, and 14 releases since the start of the year.
Even if you only count American lab releases, there’s been six. The vibes are certainly speeding up, which is probably something?
During training, weights change millions of times a second, so hypothetically labs could release models with this frequency. I would say that the speed of benchmarks going up would be a better signal, but due to benchmaxxing this is not a good answer either.