IMO it’s not really a book review, it’s a well-written and data-driven argument that commercial fusion power is about 10-15 years away, no really for real this time.
It doesn’t say that. It says that (he thinks) they’ll get Q>5 in research reactors in 10 to 15 years.
Then they can start doing all the research to figure out the systems surrounding the core reactor.
Then they can do actual engineering on systems that produce commercial power. Probably a lot of that commercialization engineering will require further experimental tests, since there’s so much new stuff involved.
Then they can get the permits and build them.
If the most optimistic predictions in that review came true right on schedule, you might have actual commercial fusion up and putting power into the grid in 30 years.
I said IMO. But yeah, I should clarify that this isn’t a quote; thanks for pointing that out.
And yeah now that you mention it the regulatory hurdles will probably be a nightmare. Plus it’s not like Elon Musk is in charge; they probably won’t be able to go from prototype to commercially viable in 5 years… I’m updating my timelines upwards.
It doesn’t say that. It says that (he thinks) they’ll get Q>5 in research reactors in 10 to 15 years.
Then they can start doing all the research to figure out the systems surrounding the core reactor.
Then they can do actual engineering on systems that produce commercial power. Probably a lot of that commercialization engineering will require further experimental tests, since there’s so much new stuff involved.
Then they can get the permits and build them.
If the most optimistic predictions in that review came true right on schedule, you might have actual commercial fusion up and putting power into the grid in 30 years.
I said IMO. But yeah, I should clarify that this isn’t a quote; thanks for pointing that out.
And yeah now that you mention it the regulatory hurdles will probably be a nightmare. Plus it’s not like Elon Musk is in charge; they probably won’t be able to go from prototype to commercially viable in 5 years… I’m updating my timelines upwards.