Ajeya from a few years ago also said things more like this (more point 1 and 3, less point 2)
I interpreted you as claiming that Ajeya had said “things more like:”
In general, people worried about AI risk should coordinate as much as possible to play down our concerns, so as not to look like alarmists. This is very important in order to build allies and accumulate political influence, so that we’re well-positioned to act if and when an important opportunity arises.
I don’t recall any examples of Ajeya saying or implying anything at all like that. I asked ChatGPT to try to find examples and I think it didn’t find anything.
In your ChatGPT session, a typical example it cites is:
In the AXRP discussion, she also says there were concerns that making the report seem too slick or official could increase capabilities interest.
I think those examples don’t meaningfully support the original claim, at least as a typical reader would understand it.
In your ChatGPT session, a typical example it cites is:
In the AXRP discussion, she also says there were concerns that making the report seem too slick or official could increase capabilities interest.
I think those examples don’t meaningfully support the original claim, at least as a typical reader would understand it.
I have no interest in defending ChatGPT’s claims here, and feel like I caveated that pretty explicitly. I agree that quote is largely irrelevant.
I asked ChatGPT to try to find examples and it didn’t find anything.
Yep, I agree with you that ChatGPT did not find any clear quotes (though it doesn’t look like ChatGPT tried very hard to find quotes). I disagree that it didn’t find “anything at all like that” (indeed ChatGPT is quite explicit that it found some things “kind of like that”).
I don’t recall any examples of Ajeya saying or implying anything at all like that.
I do. As I said, I could go and dig them up but it would take quite a while, and I am only like 75% confident they are written up as opposed to conversations, or private Google Docs or something that I would have trouble finding. It was a strong vibe I got at the time and I remember having a few conversations about adjacent conversations either with Ajeya or being about Ajeya.
Let me know if you want me to do this. I don’t quite know what’s at stake here for you, and I feel somewhat like we are talking past each other and before I do that it would be more productive to go up some meta-level, but I am not quite sure.
When you wrote:
I interpreted you as claiming that Ajeya had said “things more like:”
I don’t recall any examples of Ajeya saying or implying anything at all like that. I asked ChatGPT to try to find examples and I think it didn’t find anything.
In your ChatGPT session, a typical example it cites is:
I think those examples don’t meaningfully support the original claim, at least as a typical reader would understand it.
I have no interest in defending ChatGPT’s claims here, and feel like I caveated that pretty explicitly. I agree that quote is largely irrelevant.
Yep, I agree with you that ChatGPT did not find any clear quotes (though it doesn’t look like ChatGPT tried very hard to find quotes). I disagree that it didn’t find “anything at all like that” (indeed ChatGPT is quite explicit that it found some things “kind of like that”).
I do. As I said, I could go and dig them up but it would take quite a while, and I am only like 75% confident they are written up as opposed to conversations, or private Google Docs or something that I would have trouble finding. It was a strong vibe I got at the time and I remember having a few conversations about adjacent conversations either with Ajeya or being about Ajeya.
Let me know if you want me to do this. I don’t quite know what’s at stake here for you, and I feel somewhat like we are talking past each other and before I do that it would be more productive to go up some meta-level, but I am not quite sure.