I am not an HR professional. This is all experience as manager/director/multiple business owner.
I worked at one big corporate (Capital One Bank) who had both very rigorous recruitment processes and had very comprehensive annual appraisal processes for employees—plus of course hard data like whether they made it through appraisal, how long they worked there, promotions etc. They did analysis (they are renowned for analysing everything), looking for correlations between scores of various bits of the recruitment process and the above outcomes. There is literature on this sort of thing as well, some of it of dubious quality.
But really if you did some or all the interviewing and were responsible for the hiring decision and then work with the person you hired then you often know within days or weeks whether the person is what you thought they would be. That’s a generalisation and there are exceptions, there are people who are slow starters, a few who start well but have fatal flaws. But I would say with experience you can be confident 80% of the time, within two weeks of having either found someone really good, or bad enough you wish you hadn’t hired them, or they are ok but not a superstar.
Clearly none of this covers the people you didn’t hire. But again with experience, and having made mistakes, you get to see the correlations. between good/bad hires and what you saw at interview.
I am not an HR professional. This is all experience as manager/director/multiple business owner.
I worked at one big corporate (Capital One Bank) who had both very rigorous recruitment processes and had very comprehensive annual appraisal processes for employees—plus of course hard data like whether they made it through appraisal, how long they worked there, promotions etc.
They did analysis (they are renowned for analysing everything), looking for correlations between scores of various bits of the recruitment process and the above outcomes.
There is literature on this sort of thing as well, some of it of dubious quality.
But really if you did some or all the interviewing and were responsible for the hiring decision and then work with the person you hired then you often know within days or weeks whether the person is what you thought they would be. That’s a generalisation and there are exceptions, there are people who are slow starters, a few who start well but have fatal flaws.
But I would say with experience you can be confident 80% of the time, within two weeks of having either found someone really good, or bad enough you wish you hadn’t hired them, or they are ok but not a superstar.
Clearly none of this covers the people you didn’t hire. But again with experience, and having made mistakes, you get to see the correlations. between good/bad hires and what you saw at interview.