(Counterpoint: for big groups like bureaucracies, intra-country variances can average out. I do think we can predict that a group of 100 random Americans writing an AI constitution would place more value on political self-determination and less on political unity than a similar group of Chinese.)
Counter-counterpoint: big groups like bureaucracies are not composed of randomly selected individuals from their respective countries. I strongly doubt that say, 100 randomly selected Google employees (the largest plausible bureaucracy that might potentially develop AGI in the very near term future?) would answer extremely similarly to 100 randomly selected Americans.
Of course, in the only moderately near term or median future, something like a Manhatten Project for AI could produce an AGI. This would still not be identical to 100 random Americans, but averaging across the US security & intelligence apparatus, the current political facing portion of the US executive administration, and the leadership + relevant employee influence from a (mandatory?) collaboration of US frontier labs would be significantly closer on average. I think it would at least be closer to average Americans than a CCP Centralized AGI Project would be to average Chinese people, although I admit I’m not very knowledgeable on the gap between Chinese leadership and average Chinese people other than basics like (somewhat) widespread VPN usage.
(Counterpoint: for big groups like bureaucracies, intra-country variances can average out. I do think we can predict that a group of 100 random Americans writing an AI constitution would place more value on political self-determination and less on political unity than a similar group of Chinese.)
Counter-counterpoint: big groups like bureaucracies are not composed of randomly selected individuals from their respective countries. I strongly doubt that say, 100 randomly selected Google employees (the largest plausible bureaucracy that might potentially develop AGI in the very near term future?) would answer extremely similarly to 100 randomly selected Americans.
Of course, in the only moderately near term or median future, something like a Manhatten Project for AI could produce an AGI. This would still not be identical to 100 random Americans, but averaging across the US security & intelligence apparatus, the current political facing portion of the US executive administration, and the leadership + relevant employee influence from a (mandatory?) collaboration of US frontier labs would be significantly closer on average. I think it would at least be closer to average Americans than a CCP Centralized AGI Project would be to average Chinese people, although I admit I’m not very knowledgeable on the gap between Chinese leadership and average Chinese people other than basics like (somewhat) widespread VPN usage.