I think you need a paragraph (or a complete scientific literature) to clarify your use of the terms “IQ tests”, “measure” and “intelligence”. Do you mean some subset of formally-graded tests given by some organization, or some other set that does not include clickbait vocabulary quizzes? Do you mean “precisely quantify and rank”, or just “quantitatively reduce uncertainty about an individual”? Oh, do you mean do they individually measure, or do you mean group or distribution measure (for instance, might be very unreliable individually, but still provide statistical evidence of group differences)? And which definition (operational definition, please—some observable effect) of “intelligence” are you wondering about?
Oh, read your actual market. You’re asking for predictions of what you will think, not predictions of any actual thing. I don’t think that’s very valuable, though I look forward to the post explaining whether and why you updated your beliefs.
I think you need a paragraph (or a complete scientific literature) to clarify your use of the terms “IQ tests”, “measure” and “intelligence”. Do you mean some subset of formally-graded tests given by some organization, or some other set that does not include clickbait vocabulary quizzes? Do you mean “precisely quantify and rank”, or just “quantitatively reduce uncertainty about an individual”? Oh, do you mean do they individually measure, or do you mean group or distribution measure (for instance, might be very unreliable individually, but still provide statistical evidence of group differences)? And which definition (operational definition, please—some observable effect) of “intelligence” are you wondering about?
Oh, read your actual market. You’re asking for predictions of what you will think, not predictions of any actual thing. I don’t think that’s very valuable, though I look forward to the post explaining whether and why you updated your beliefs.