A lot of people brought up sanctions, and they could indeed influence European economy/politics.
I would be curious about what sanctions in particular are likely to be implemented, and what are their implications—a major economic setback/energy prices soaring could radicalize European politics perhaps?
My guess would be that overall the whole event increases support for conservative/nationalist/populist parties—for example, even though Hungary’s populist government was trying to appear to be balancing “between the West and Russia” (thus now being in an uncomfortable situation), I think they can probably actually spin it around to their advantage. (Perhaps even more so, if they can fearmonger about refugees.)
The current Polish government is very much conservative, right-wing, and populist but they clearly voice support for Ukraine and criticize Putin’s actions (which does not necessarily mean they’re going to do anything substantial about it).
I think the point was less about a problem with refugees (which should be solved in time with European coordination), maybe more that the whole invasion is “good news” for conservative parties, as most crises are.
A lot of people brought up sanctions, and they could indeed influence European economy/politics.
I would be curious about what sanctions in particular are likely to be implemented, and what are their implications—a major economic setback/energy prices soaring could radicalize European politics perhaps?
My guess would be that overall the whole event increases support for conservative/nationalist/populist parties—for example, even though Hungary’s populist government was trying to appear to be balancing “between the West and Russia” (thus now being in an uncomfortable situation), I think they can probably actually spin it around to their advantage. (Perhaps even more so, if they can fearmonger about refugees.)
The current Polish government is very much conservative, right-wing, and populist but they clearly voice support for Ukraine and criticize Putin’s actions (which does not necessarily mean they’re going to do anything substantial about it).
I think the point was less about a problem with refugees (which should be solved in time with European coordination), maybe more that the whole invasion is “good news” for conservative parties, as most crises are.