It’s not that flat earth arguments sound equally persuasive to people (they don’t). It’s that the reason they don’t sound persuasive is that “this group they like” says not to take the arguments seriously enough to risk being persuaded by them, and they recognize that they don’t actually understand things well enough for it to matter. The response to a flat earth argument is “Haha! What a silly argument!”, but when you press them on it, they can’t actually tell you what’s wrong with it. They might think they can, but if pressed it falls apart.
This is more subtle than the “guessing the teachers password” problem, because it’s not like the words have no meaning to them. People grasp what a ball is, and how it differs from a flat disk. People recognize bas things like “If you keep going long enough in the same direction, you’ll end up back where you started instead of falling off”. It’s just that the reasoning required to figure out which is true isn’t something they really understand. In order to reason about what it implies when things disappear over the horizon, you have to contend with atmospheric lensing effects, for example.
In a case like that, you actually have to lean on social networks. Reasoning well in such circumstances has to do with how well and how honestly you’re tracking what is convincing you and why.
It’s not that flat earth arguments sound equally persuasive to people (they don’t). It’s that the reason they don’t sound persuasive is that “this group they like” says not to take the arguments seriously enough to risk being persuaded by them, and they recognize that they don’t actually understand things well enough for it to matter. The response to a flat earth argument is “Haha! What a silly argument!”, but when you press them on it, they can’t actually tell you what’s wrong with it. They might think they can, but if pressed it falls apart.
This is more subtle than the “guessing the teachers password” problem, because it’s not like the words have no meaning to them. People grasp what a ball is, and how it differs from a flat disk. People recognize bas things like “If you keep going long enough in the same direction, you’ll end up back where you started instead of falling off”. It’s just that the reasoning required to figure out which is true isn’t something they really understand. In order to reason about what it implies when things disappear over the horizon, you have to contend with atmospheric lensing effects, for example.
In a case like that, you actually have to lean on social networks. Reasoning well in such circumstances has to do with how well and how honestly you’re tracking what is convincing you and why.