I somehow had a cached thought from looking at Metaculus statistics of myself in the past that my performance was more middle of the pack. Yesterday, I looked at the statistics again and it ranks me, Rank: #10 out of 4859 out of Time Period:2016 − 2020.
I’m not exactly sure how I got my impression in the past, maybe I was better at the more long running predictions? Or did Metaculus change something about how it calculates scores?
I somehow had a cached thought from looking at Metaculus statistics of myself in the past that my performance was more middle of the pack. Yesterday, I looked at the statistics again and it ranks me, Rank: #10 out of 4859 out of Time Period:2016 − 2020.
I’m not exactly sure how I got my impression in the past, maybe I was better at the more long running predictions? Or did Metaculus change something about how it calculates scores?