Worst case scenario: thousands of people, many of whom would otherwise be dead, will have the basic tools they need to lift themselves out of extreme poverty
There’s evidence that the MVP can keep people from dying (at 35x the cost of the AMF) but “lift themselves up out of poverty” is basically unsubstantiated.
This is optimistic. See this summary of a 2011 RCT.
There’s evidence that the MVP can keep people from dying (at 35x the cost of the AMF) but “lift themselves up out of poverty” is basically unsubstantiated.
Also relevant: http://blog.givewell.org/category/millennium-villages/