In so far as this argument works (I’m talking here about idea 1) surely what you should be expecting is to live for ever without getting luckier than should be necessary to keep you alive all that time, which might still be outrageously lucky by normal standards.
[EDITED to fix a stupid autocorrect typo—I had “ask that time” instead of “all that time”.]
Counterexample: I go to sleep (lose consciousness) and wake up again. QI seems to predict that I would never fall asleep, because I stop observing when I’m asleep and so QI would force me into universes in which I don’t fall asleep. Timeless QI has no problem with me falling asleep and then observing I’m alive and awake hours later.
In so far as this argument works (I’m talking here about idea 1) surely what you should be expecting is to live for ever without getting luckier than should be necessary to keep you alive all that time, which might still be outrageously lucky by normal standards.
[EDITED to fix a stupid autocorrect typo—I had “ask that time” instead of “all that time”.]
Counterexample: I go to sleep (lose consciousness) and wake up again. QI seems to predict that I would never fall asleep, because I stop observing when I’m asleep and so QI would force me into universes in which I don’t fall asleep. Timeless QI has no problem with me falling asleep and then observing I’m alive and awake hours later.
I don’t think advocates of QI generally mean by it what I think you’re taking it to mean.
In terms of conscious experience, dreamless sleep and death feel similar, as far as I know.