Promoted to curated: I’ve found myself coming back to this post once every few days or so since it was published. It had a lot of graphs and numbers in a single place I hadn’t seen before, and while I have some disagreements with it, I think it did make me update towards a bit shorter timelines, which is impressive for a topic I’ve already spent hundreds of hours thinking about.
I particularly like the mixture of integrating both first-principles arguments, and a lot of concrete data into an overall worldview that I think I now have a much better time engaging with.
Promoted to curated: I’ve found myself coming back to this post once every few days or so since it was published. It had a lot of graphs and numbers in a single place I hadn’t seen before, and while I have some disagreements with it, I think it did make me update towards a bit shorter timelines, which is impressive for a topic I’ve already spent hundreds of hours thinking about.
I particularly like the mixture of integrating both first-principles arguments, and a lot of concrete data into an overall worldview that I think I now have a much better time engaging with.
Thanks!