My worry here is that some people who were even more paranoid than that got put in the no category, and given who follows Rob I’m guessing that could be a sizable group, but it’s cool to see. This is an overall 13.1% rate of getting Covid, and 17.8% even in the “no” group, which is substantially lower than the nationwide average of about 30% (some people answering weren’t American, but still that’s a big gap), which supports the idea that this group is a lot more cautious than usual. The “yes” group had a 9% rate, about half of the “no” group.
Between people thinking they followed such rules when they didn’t, the lizardman constant slash misclicks/misunderstandings, false beliefs about having had Covid (which aren’t that rare) and the most cautious people of all being in the “no” group, that 2:1 ratio is almost certainly too low.
The poll was retweeted by Aella, who has 65x my follower count, so the respondents are much less rationalist and academic than you might expect. Also, only 4 of the 72 people who answered “yes, yes” followed the instructions (“leave a comment”), and 2 of those 4 admitted to being misclicks. Between this and the other issues, I think the poll results are probably almost useless.
Ah, so it’s effectively an Aella poll. She’s got quite the Twitter poll business going. Her followers are definitely not as rationalist, although a lot more rationalist than average. Interesting.
The poll was retweeted by Aella, who has 65x my follower count, so the respondents are much less rationalist and academic than you might expect. Also, only 4 of the 72 people who answered “yes, yes” followed the instructions (“leave a comment”), and 2 of those 4 admitted to being misclicks. Between this and the other issues, I think the poll results are probably almost useless.
Ah, so it’s effectively an Aella poll. She’s got quite the Twitter poll business going. Her followers are definitely not as rationalist, although a lot more rationalist than average. Interesting.