I think that the proposal in the book would “tank the global economy”, as defined by a >10% drop in the S&P 500, and similar index funds, and I think this is a kinda reasonable definition. But I also think that other proposals for us not all dying probably have similar (probably less severe) impacts because they also involve stopping or slowing AI progress (eg Redwood’s proposed “get to 30x AI R&D and then stop capabilities progress until we solve alignment” plan[1]).
I think that the proposal in the book would “tank the global economy”, as defined by a >10% drop in the S&P 500, and similar index funds, and I think this is a kinda reasonable definition. But I also think that other proposals for us not all dying probably have similar (probably less severe) impacts because they also involve stopping or slowing AI progress (eg Redwood’s proposed “get to 30x AI R&D and then stop capabilities progress until we solve alignment” plan[1]).
I think this is an accurate short description of the plan, but it might have changed last I heard.