Re b) - could Dario have an altruistic incentive to promote the company’s success, and specifically the road to IPO, given the 80% pledges and the employee donation matching and everything? Claude suggests, back of the envelope, that the donations might represent something like roughly an order of magnitude increase in yearly spending on AI safety compared to right now. Maybe there’s a frame like: the transformative impact of that money makes making hedged public statements about AI risk, and softening some of the company’s stances to be more business-compatible (to increase the odds of a good IPO) not seem so bad?
I don’t know if I actually endorse this. I don’t know the actual cause allocation the donators have planned. And if I were holding Anthropic equity and using this line of reasoning to help make decisions, I’d be worried about the conflict of interest biasing my reasoning. But it’s an interpretation that sticks out to me.
Re b) - could Dario have an altruistic incentive to promote the company’s success, and specifically the road to IPO, given the 80% pledges and the employee donation matching and everything? Claude suggests, back of the envelope, that the donations might represent something like roughly an order of magnitude increase in yearly spending on AI safety compared to right now. Maybe there’s a frame like: the transformative impact of that money makes making hedged public statements about AI risk, and softening some of the company’s stances to be more business-compatible (to increase the odds of a good IPO) not seem so bad?
I don’t know if I actually endorse this. I don’t know the actual cause allocation the donators have planned. And if I were holding Anthropic equity and using this line of reasoning to help make decisions, I’d be worried about the conflict of interest biasing my reasoning. But it’s an interpretation that sticks out to me.