I am confused about the satellites example, however. If two satellites had, say, a 15% chance of collision (by the best we could measure), when we apply random forces to decrease that chance of collision, I think it’s maybe a bit of a deceptive oversimplification to say that we’re just applying random forces? Because really it’s more like… maybe there’s 360 degrees each satellite could head to, and 45 degrees of danger zone, and we’re applying forces that will attempt to push outside of that danger zone and into the other degrees. So we might become less certain about its eventual location, but more certain that it won’t fall into the danger zone, which is the part we care about.
So we might become less certain about its eventual location, but more certain that it won’t fall into the danger zone, which is the part we care about.
Ah, the Knox example is clear, thank you!
I am confused about the satellites example, however. If two satellites had, say, a 15% chance of collision (by the best we could measure), when we apply random forces to decrease that chance of collision, I think it’s maybe a bit of a deceptive oversimplification to say that we’re just applying random forces? Because really it’s more like… maybe there’s 360 degrees each satellite could head to, and 45 degrees of danger zone, and we’re applying forces that will attempt to push outside of that danger zone and into the other degrees. So we might become less certain about its eventual location, but more certain that it won’t fall into the danger zone, which is the part we care about.
Yeah, I think that’s exactly the point?