You’re right, I overstated and compressed/simplified too much with that sentence. Dalio isn’t listed in the influences section of the full work explicitly but Turchin is.
The more precise claim: we have maps, but we lack the underlying physics from which those maps can be derived. What’s been missing is a substrate-independent generative model that explains why these patterns recur across different substrates and civilizations. I think this is neglected and needed to make it more legible and thereby eventually engineer the dynamics.
These models are not wrong. The Aliveness framework attempts to provide a deeper, shared set of generative principles (the Four Axiomatic Dilemmas) from which these different, domain-specific patterns can be derived.
You’re right, I overstated and compressed/simplified too much with that sentence. Dalio isn’t listed in the influences section of the full work explicitly but Turchin is.
The more precise claim: we have maps, but we lack the underlying physics from which those maps can be derived. What’s been missing is a substrate-independent generative model that explains why these patterns recur across different substrates and civilizations. I think this is neglected and needed to make it more legible and thereby eventually engineer the dynamics.
These models are not wrong. The Aliveness framework attempts to provide a deeper, shared set of generative principles (the Four Axiomatic Dilemmas) from which these different, domain-specific patterns can be derived.