Sure it does. Haven’t you heard of Cox’s Theorem? It singles out (Bayesian) probability theory as the uniquely determined extension of propositional logic to handle degrees of certainty. There’s also my recent paper, “From Propositional Logic to Plausible Reasoning: A Uniqueness Theorem”
I guess the problematic assumption is that we want to assign degrees of certainty. That doesn’t hold in AMD-like situations. They require reasoning under uncertainty, but any reasoning based on degrees of certainty leads to the wrong answer.
Sure it does. Haven’t you heard of Cox’s Theorem? It singles out (Bayesian) probability theory as the uniquely determined extension of propositional logic to handle degrees of certainty. There’s also my recent paper, “From Propositional Logic to Plausible Reasoning: A Uniqueness Theorem”
https://na01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fauthors.elsevier.com%2Fa%2F1VIqc%2CKD6ZCKMf&data=02%7C01%7C%7C12e6bb32616e4a953bb808d4bfe40576%7Cfa7b1b5a7b34438794aed2c178decee1%7C0%7C0%7C636344433443102669&sdata=9lY8lw3AEn8Hw5IuPxo2YPcLadVhyXR5b98rULWC8nE%3D&reserved=0
or
https://arxiv.org/abs/1706.05261
I guess the problematic assumption is that we want to assign degrees of certainty. That doesn’t hold in AMD-like situations. They require reasoning under uncertainty, but any reasoning based on degrees of certainty leads to the wrong answer.