Yeah its certainly an interesting one. I’ve found myself (since I’ve spent weeks working on the deck and just talking about these biases) noticed myself, in moments, recognising certain biases and fallacies emerge when people talk, or even when I talk. Like I’ll. catch myself being like—I think I’m using an authority bias here—and I would say I do this ‘more’ after having worked on the game than before it.
The key problem is that this is a process metric and not an outcome metric. With rationality we do care about outcome and it’s not clear that the process metric actually relates to them.
With cognitive bias training there’s the risk that it just makes it easier to rationalize whatever you want to believe for other reasons. As far as I understand, CFAR did experiment in the beginning about teaching cognitive biases and then decided against it because they believed it wouldn’t actually help with what they are trying to accomplish.
From academia we also don’t seem to have studies that show that you can improve people’s real decision making by teaching them ccognitive biases.
Yeah its certainly an interesting one. I’ve found myself (since I’ve spent weeks working on the deck and just talking about these biases) noticed myself, in moments, recognising certain biases and fallacies emerge when people talk, or even when I talk. Like I’ll. catch myself being like—I think I’m using an authority bias here—and I would say I do this ‘more’ after having worked on the game than before it.
The key problem is that this is a process metric and not an outcome metric. With rationality we do care about outcome and it’s not clear that the process metric actually relates to them.
With cognitive bias training there’s the risk that it just makes it easier to rationalize whatever you want to believe for other reasons. As far as I understand, CFAR did experiment in the beginning about teaching cognitive biases and then decided against it because they believed it wouldn’t actually help with what they are trying to accomplish.
From academia we also don’t seem to have studies that show that you can improve people’s real decision making by teaching them ccognitive biases.