Mainly I meant to say “you probably should have substantive uncertainty about the extent to which it’s a sign about their capability, because (I assume) you don’t know the sorts of people they’re trying to hire and how those people orient to politics and whether that’s a good orientation or not”.
I would be quite surprised if I were surprised (upon learning more) about what sort of people they were trying to hire, or how those people relate to politics.
I could still totally be overconfident about the overall frame here but, like, I’m already assuming “they are basically correct about the immediate implications of hiring Richard.” Is there a particular thing you’re imagining I might not be imagining?
Mainly I meant to say “you probably should have substantive uncertainty about the extent to which it’s a sign about their capability, because (I assume) you don’t know the sorts of people they’re trying to hire and how those people orient to politics and whether that’s a good orientation or not”.
I would be quite surprised if I were surprised (upon learning more) about what sort of people they were trying to hire, or how those people relate to politics.
I could still totally be overconfident about the overall frame here but, like, I’m already assuming “they are basically correct about the immediate implications of hiring Richard.” Is there a particular thing you’re imagining I might not be imagining?