I can’t make sense of 3. Most predictions’ truth is not contingent on whether they have been erased or not. Stipulations are. Successful action recommendations are stipulations. How does any action recommendation get through that?
You can read about counterfactual oracles in this paper. Stuart also ran a contest on LW about them.
I can’t make sense of 3. Most predictions’ truth is not contingent on whether they have been erased or not. Stipulations are. Successful action recommendations are stipulations. How does any action recommendation get through that?
You can read about counterfactual oracles in this paper. Stuart also ran a contest on LW about them.