PredictIt has the “yes” at 0.80 cents: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5158/Will-Donald-Trump-complete-his-first-term
Polymarket has the “yes” at 0.85 cents: https://polymarket.com/market/will-trump-complete-his-first-term
My intuition is telling me that there’s an odds mis-pricing going on and there is a +EV bet to be made.
What do you think?
[Question] Will Donald Trump complete his first term?
PredictIt has the “yes” at 0.80 cents: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5158/Will-Donald-Trump-complete-his-first-term
Polymarket has the “yes” at 0.85 cents: https://polymarket.com/market/will-trump-complete-his-first-term
My intuition is telling me that there’s an odds mis-pricing going on and there is a +EV bet to be made.
What do you think?