There’s a lot of problems with linking to manifold and calling it “the expert consensus”!
It’s not the right source. The survey you linked elsewhere would be better.
Even for the survey, it’s unclear whether these are the “right” experts for the question. This at least needs clarification.
It’s not a consensus, this is a median or mean of a pretty wide distribution.
I wouldn’t belabor it, but you’re putting quite a lot of weight on this one point.
There’s a lot of problems with linking to manifold and calling it “the expert consensus”!
It’s not the right source. The survey you linked elsewhere would be better.
Even for the survey, it’s unclear whether these are the “right” experts for the question. This at least needs clarification.
It’s not a consensus, this is a median or mean of a pretty wide distribution.
I wouldn’t belabor it, but you’re putting quite a lot of weight on this one point.