One outcome might be that you live in a particular rationalist filter bubble where everyone can’t-say similar sets of things, or that maybe you can take the things people say in aggregate and see that they form a fairly digestible pattern.
(I suspect I’m not alone in avoiding talking about mainstream politics, and I’d suspect there’s roughly four groups in my circles that are something like “avoid politics”, “disproportionately lean social leftist”, “disproportionately lean libertarian”, and “disproportionately lean edgy and contrarian”, or something kinda like that, and if you can get a sense of how many of each group there are you can turn that into an overall heuristic.”)
One outcome might be that you live in a particular rationalist filter bubble where everyone can’t-say similar sets of things, or that maybe you can take the things people say in aggregate and see that they form a fairly digestible pattern.
(I suspect I’m not alone in avoiding talking about mainstream politics, and I’d suspect there’s roughly four groups in my circles that are something like “avoid politics”, “disproportionately lean social leftist”, “disproportionately lean libertarian”, and “disproportionately lean edgy and contrarian”, or something kinda like that, and if you can get a sense of how many of each group there are you can turn that into an overall heuristic.”)