I don’t endorse the term “henchmen”, these are not my markets. I offer these as an opportunity to orient by making predictions. Marko Elez is not currently on the list, but I will ask if he is included.
To me making predictions about whether one of them will be given a pardon before 2026 strange. If they get a pardon it will likely be at the end of Trump’s term.
The main scenario where they might be charged with a federal crime are about Trump having a fallout with Elon and in that case they likely won’t get pardons.
Pam Bondi is unlikely to charge people inside of DOGE as long as there’s a good relationship between Elon and Trump.
I don’t endorse the term “henchmen”, these are not my markets. I offer these as an opportunity to orient by making predictions. Marko Elez is not currently on the list, but I will ask if he is included.
To me making predictions about whether one of them will be given a pardon before 2026 strange. If they get a pardon it will likely be at the end of Trump’s term.
The main scenario where they might be charged with a federal crime are about Trump having a fallout with Elon and in that case they likely won’t get pardons.
Pam Bondi is unlikely to charge people inside of DOGE as long as there’s a good relationship between Elon and Trump.