I didn’t know about the Dunning-Kruger effect. It’s interessing.
It may be considered a bias, but in some sense it is not strictly irrational to be overconfident when you lack knowledge and have no way to measure the immensity of your ignorance. You have no frame of reference, you don’t realize that the space of possibilities is vast. I can imagine a Cro-magnon very confident about it’s understanding of the world. He listened to the Old Man when he was young, he knows his classics.
It’s only when you accumulate knowledge that you begin to realize how ignorant you were before without even noticing, like most people. This experience provides strong evidence that you should update your beliefs in favor of greater caution and humility. This is the essence of Socrates’ and Montaigne’s famous teachings.
I didn’t know about the Dunning-Kruger effect. It’s interessing.
It may be considered a bias, but in some sense it is not strictly irrational to be overconfident when you lack knowledge and have no way to measure the immensity of your ignorance. You have no frame of reference, you don’t realize that the space of possibilities is vast. I can imagine a Cro-magnon very confident about it’s understanding of the world. He listened to the Old Man when he was young, he knows his classics.
It’s only when you accumulate knowledge that you begin to realize how ignorant you were before without even noticing, like most people. This experience provides strong evidence that you should update your beliefs in favor of greater caution and humility. This is the essence of Socrates’ and Montaigne’s famous teachings.