This site is a cool innovation but missing pieces required to be really useful. I’m giving it +1. I might give it +4 to subsidize ‘actually build shit’.
I think this site is on-the-path to something important but a) the UI isn’t quite there and b) there’s this additional problem where, well, most news doesn’t matter (in that it doesn’t affect my decisions).
During Ukraine nuclear scares, I looked at BaseRateTimes sometimes to try and orient, but I think it was less helpful than other compilations of prediction markets that Lightcone made specifically to help orient to nuclear threats.
I do think combining multiple prediction platforms into a single page is a pretty useful innovation and still seems likely to be a key piece of the final usable product I hope exists some day.
Things that feel missing:
good UI for tailoring the page to suit my interests and decisionmaking
...more context, or something, for each market?
I assume one problem here is that matching up markets from different platforms with similar enough resolution criteria is hard. (Seems like something AI may be able to automate now?)
This site is a cool innovation but missing pieces required to be really useful. I’m giving it +1. I might give it +4 to subsidize ‘actually build shit’.
I think this site is on-the-path to something important but a) the UI isn’t quite there and b) there’s this additional problem where, well, most news doesn’t matter (in that it doesn’t affect my decisions).
During Ukraine nuclear scares, I looked at BaseRateTimes sometimes to try and orient, but I think it was less helpful than other compilations of prediction markets that Lightcone made specifically to help orient to nuclear threats.
I do think combining multiple prediction platforms into a single page is a pretty useful innovation and still seems likely to be a key piece of the final usable product I hope exists some day.
Things that feel missing:
good UI for tailoring the page to suit my interests and decisionmaking
...more context, or something, for each market?
I assume one problem here is that matching up markets from different platforms with similar enough resolution criteria is hard. (Seems like something AI may be able to automate now?)