But I consider it fairly likely that mid-term (maybe 50% of the way to TAI, in years) safe AI systems are likely to outperform humans on AI safety strategy and the large majority of the research work.
The best humans, or the median humans who do that work, or something else?
The best humans, or the median humans who do that work, or something else?
The humans trusted to make decisions.
I’m hesitant to say “best humans”, because who knows how many smart people there may be out there who might luck out or something.
But “the people making decisions on this, including in key EA orgs/spending” is a much more understandable bar.