Even a identity-as-process partisan will often prefer A to B, if they’re risk averse (and I am both). I (always? not sure) prefer a certainty of X to 1% probability of X*100.
Remember that risk aversion does not exist in a value-vacuum. In normal circumstances you are risk averse in money because your first $100 is more valuable than your last $100. You have to solve the problem that wei_dai brought up in order to explain why you would be risk averse in #’s of simulations running.
B. Enter into a fair gamble at 24:1 odds with their remaining money. If they win, they can use the winnings to keep all of the servers running. But if they lose, they have to shut down all copies.
Even a identity-as-process partisan will often prefer A to B, if they’re risk averse (and I am both). I (always? not sure) prefer a certainty of X to 1% probability of X*100.
Remember that risk aversion does not exist in a value-vacuum. In normal circumstances you are risk averse in money because your first $100 is more valuable than your last $100. You have to solve the problem that wei_dai brought up in order to explain why you would be risk averse in #’s of simulations running.
Do you prefer this B to the (unmodified) A?